Dollar eases off 14-year peak

Bank notes of Euro, Hong Kong dollar, U.S. dollar, Japanese yen, GB pound and Chinese yuan are seen in this picture illustration

Bank notes of Euro, Hong Kong dollar, U.S. dollar, Japanese yen, GB pound and Chinese yuan are seen in this picture illustration

Published Jan 5, 2017

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Tokyo - The dollar stepped further away

from a 14-year peak against a basket of currencies on Thursday,

as investors locked in gains from its two-month-old rally after

Donald Trump won the US presidential election.

The dollar had soared on Trump's plans to cut taxes, boost

fiscal spending and protectionist trade rhetoric, all seen as

inflationary and lifting US bond yields.

But uncertainty on exactly what his presidency will bring is

prompting some players to close their bets on the dollar ahead

of Trump's planned news conference on Jan. 11. He will be

inaugurated on January 20.

"Some people say the 'Trump rally' has come to an end

already. Others say the real rally will begin after he will take

office," said Kyosuke Suzuki, director of forex at Societe

Generale. "It's not clear what the market's next theme will be."

The dollar's index against a basket of six major currencies

slipped to 102.23 after having hit a 14-year high

of 103.82 on Tuesday, when a strong reading from a U.S.

manufacturing survey boosted the currency.

The dollar's initial support lies at 101.91, its Dec. 30

low, though a breach of that level would take it to three-week

lows and could send a bearish signal in the near term.

The euro rose 0.3 percent in Asia to $1.0524, having

recovered from a 14-year low of $1.0340 touched on Tuesday.

The common currency was helped at the margin by data showing

euro zone prices rose faster than expected in December and

surveys suggesting business growth reached its highest in more

than five years.

The dollar slipped 0.5 percent to 116.62 yen after

having peaked at 118.605 on Tuesday, just shy of its

10-1/2-month high of 118.66 touched on December 15.

Some traders noted that there may have been dollar selling

by Japanese exporters after their New Year holidays.

The Australian dollar hit a two-week high of

$0.7303.

"Recent economic data is pretty good so markets are on

risk-on mode overall and the dollar is supported. But U.S. bond

yields are being capped so the dollar is losing its drive for

further gains," said Yukio Ishizuki, currency strategist at

Daiwa Securities.

U.S. bond yields edged down on Wednesday, with the 30-year

yield hitting a four-week low, even as the minutes from the

Federal Reserve's December policy meeting showed almost all

policymakers thought the economy could grow more quickly because

of fiscal stimulus under the Trump administration.

The Chinese yuan stabilised after Chinese authorities set

its mid-point in line with market expectations on Thursday, a

day after they tried to shore up the currency with higher a

mid-point and intervention.

Their actions led to the biggest daily gain in about a year

in offshore yuan on Wednesday.

The offshore yuan last traded at 6.8860 per dollar,

after having gained 1.3 percent on Wednesday and hitting a

one-month high of 6.8658 per dollar.

"The price action was pretty big. I suspect it was propelled

by unwinding of those who had made big bets against the yuan on

speculation that capital outflows will continue under a strong

dollar," Daiwa's Ishizuki said.

The squeeze in the offshore yuan is leaving it more

expensive than the onshore rate, which stood at 6.928

to the dollar. The offshore renminbi, or the yuan, has been

mostly traded at a slight discount to the onshore one.

The Thomson Reuters/Hong Kong Exchange index of the offshore

yuan hit its highest level in almost six months, though

the index for onshore yuan still stood within its ranges

of the past few weeks.

A private survey on China's services sector showed growth in

the industries accelerated to a 17-month high in December,

underpinning risk sentiment.

REUTERS

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