Trump’s pledge to cut taxes, including a lowering of the rates paid by corporations, was a pillar of his 2016 presidential campaign and provided much of the fuel for the heady stock market rally that followed his November 8 victory.
The White House has sought to refocus attention on that part of Trump’s agenda since the collapse on Friday of a Republican bill to reshape the US health care system largely by gutting Democratic former President Barack Obama’s 2010 health care law.
“The markets aren't really concerned about health care,” said Randy Frederick, managing director of trading and derivatives for Charles Schwab in Austin, Texas. “What the markets are concerned about is tax policy. So now the more important issue has come to the forefront. The question is, will they be able to get that done? I don’t know.”
The major US stock indexes were down, with the S&P 500 0.3 percent lower, while benchmark 10-year Treasury notes were up 11/32 in price for a yield of 2.36 percent after hitting a one-month low in yield earlier. Analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch said in a research note that a tax bill, “if passed at all, could be a very watered-down version of current proposals.”
The US tax code has not undergone a major overhaul since 1986 during Republican former President Ronald Reagan’s administration, and there is tacit acknowledgement in both parties that some changes are needed, especially in terms of easing the burdens of middle-class Americans.
Democrats, however, are opposed to tax cuts for the rich. They also fought Republican former President George W Bush’s tax changes that they said rewarded the wealthiest Americans.
That means Republicans, who control Congress and the White House for the first time in a decade, may have to vote as a bloc to pass the tax plan that investors would most want, something far less certain after the health care bill debacle.
Trump and House of Representatives Speaker Paul Ryan were unable to keep Republican lawmakers in line for the health care legislation. They pulled it off the House floor after a rebellion by the most conservative Republican lawmakers who argued that parts of it were too similar to the Obamacare law it was meant to replace as well as moderates who worried about the number of Americans who would lose health insurance.