After a performance during 2011 that disappointed, the share price of microlender African Bank Investments Limited (Abil) has surged, breaking upside resistance. And it looks set to continue its climb upwards.
Abil: upside breakout
Recommendation: buy pullbacks.
Trend: short-term up, but overbought. Medium-term up. Long-term sideways.
Strategy: buy a pullback to the R36.50 level.
(Daily)
n After moving sideways for all of last year, Abil has now broken out of a large ascending triangle (lines 1 and 2). This is also a “complex” inverse head and shoulders (labelled), which is a bullish pattern.
In November it broke out of a large declining channel.
n Right now, though, it is overbought, as seen by the stochastic oscillator (on top). But expect any pullback to be temporary.
n Buy it on a pullback (such as to R36.50). Pullbacks are buyable all the way up, until its minimum upside target is reached.
n That target is R41.50 over the medium term. (This target is obtained by measuring the height of triangle 1 to 2 and projecting it up).
n Place your initial stop-loss as a close below R34.50. Traders take partial profits at the R40.40 level to reduce your overall risk on the trade.
Colin Abrams is an independent technical analyst. Visit colin@themarket.co.za to subscribe to more recommendations by him, or to attend courses, go to www.themarket.co.za
|
|
Services
Financial Tools