Technical analysis: Group Five is construction stock breaking long bear trend

Published Mar 5, 2013

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Colin Abrams

An interesting development is taking place in several JSE construction stocks. One example is the chart of Group Five, which has finally broken its five-year bear trend. It now has two higher targets in place.

Recommendation: Buy or accumulate on pullbacks.

Trend: Short and medium term up. Long term technically sideways.

(Weekly chart)

n Group Five has broken out of two significant chart patterns. The first is a large falling wedge (lines 1 and 2). The second is a double-bottom pattern (as labelled).

Each pattern has a higher target. Target 1 is to R48.50 (based on the double bottom). Meanwhile, target 2 is slightly higher at R52 (based on the large wedge). The price at the time of writing was R35.50.

n Therefore, there is still good upside potential here over the medium and longer term.

n In the short term, the price is overbought. But any pullback will be temporary.

n Medium-term players should start buying now. And use any pullback to line 3 (R31.95) or lower to add to medium-term holdings.

n The medium-term stop loss should be kept relatively wide for now as a weekly closing price below R26.

Colin Abrams is an independent technical analyst. To subscribe to more recommendations, or attend courses, see www.themarket.co.za.

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