Rout causes business rethink

File picture: Siphiwe Sibeko

File picture: Siphiwe Sibeko

Published Aug 25, 2015

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Johannesburg - The global rout in emerging markets is taking a deeper toll on companies.

Daimler said Monday it’s eliminating 1 500 jobs at its Brazilian truckmaking division as demand for commercial vehicles in the country shows no sign of recovery. That outlook also prompted Ford Motor to temporarily close a car plant and engine factory in Brazil earlier this month.

In South Africa, mobile-phone operator MTN Group gave up on a plan to repay early about $500 million of debt held in Nigeria, its biggest market, because it can’t get hold of dollars there.

Corporations also are holding off on raising new debt financing, which may delay investments or acquisitions.

More than $5 trillion in value has been lopped from equities worldwide since August 11, when China’s unexpected currency devaluation triggered concern about a slowdown there and in other emerging markets. US stocks joined Monday’s selloffs in Europe and Asia before paring some losses by midday.

“The pressure to adjust increases,” and companies will be looking harder at cutting costs and getting more efficient in response to the turmoil, said Hans Ola Meyer, CFO of Sweden’s Atlas Copco, the world’s largest maker of air compressors.

For all the drama of plunging stocks, bonds and currencies in emerging markets, companies are unlikely to walk away from those countries, said Rajesh Varma, who helps manage 16 billion euros ($18.5 billion) at DNCA Finance in Paris.

“I don’t think companies are going to be pulling out, that would be the most silly thing to do,” Varma said in a phone interview. “There’s still more growth there than there is in developed markets, whether we like it or not.”

Apple’s optimism

This sentiment was echoed by Apple CEO Tim Cook, who told CNBC’s Jim Cramer in an e-mail that the iPhone maker has seen “strong growth” in China this summer.

Apple’s shares, down as much as 13 percent on Monday morning, rebounded to a gain after Cook said iPhone activations have accelerated in China in recent weeks and the country “represents an unprecedented opportunity over the long term.” An Apple representative confirmed the e-mail.

Meyer, the Atlas Copco CFO, said his company’s strategic interest in China is “just as big as it was two years ago.” The company got about 28 percent of sales from Asia last year, with another 10 percent from Africa and the Middle East and 8.6 percent from South America.

‘Complete overreaction’

The market slump is a “complete overreaction” and China will continue to grow, said Frank Appel, CEO of Deutsche Post, Europe’s biggest mail service. “The fundamentals are still in good shape, our fundamentals are still in good shape, many of our customers are still in good shape,” he said in an interview in Johannesburg.

For some investors, the recent stock rout is creating an opportunity to snatch up shares of companies.

Varma, of DNCA Finance, said he’s considering increasing his holdings of consumer-products makers Unilever and Reckitt Benckiser Group after their shares plunged, and he’s already “nibbling away” at shares of Google and Check Point Software Technologies.

Buying opportunities

Executives may see their companies’ own stocks as bargains as well, triggering stock repurchase plans.

Companies inclined to buy back shares are “going to take advantage of these lower prices, and most of those tend to be mature companies,” Dan Morgan, a senior portfolio manager with Synovus Securities, said by phone. “You’ll see more aggressive steps taken by companies that have been holding off a little bit.”

Two companies that Morgan considers likely buyers of their own shares: Hewlett-Packard and International Business Machines (IBM).

“Both of these are heavy cash companies,” he said. “I would imagine they would continue to take advantage of the weakness of the market and the weakness of their shares to continue to purchase back their own stock.”

Ian Colley, a spokesman for IBM, didn’t immediately provide a comment.

At Starbucks, CEO Howard Schultz on Monday reassured employees via e-mail that the coffee chain has weathered market volatility before and will be just fine. Even so, it’s a good time to pay extra attention to customers, he said.

“Let’s be very sensitive to the pressures our customers may be feeling, and do everything we can to individually and collectively exceed their expectations,” Schultz wrote.

BLOOMBERG

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