Technical analysis: Expect short-term Nasdaq fallsComment on this story
The Nasdaq 100 index in the US has been falling for a number of weeks and has dragged the Standard & Poor’s 500 and Dow Jones industrial average down with it. Its chart shows where one should expect price support on its current decline.
Nasdaq 100 index: Lower target.
Recommendation: Traders sell short rallies.
Trend: Short term down. Medium term sideways. Long term up.
- Technology tends to lead in the US, and the Nasdaq 100 has broken down below line 2 support (which forms a rising channel with line 3).
- The minimum target from this channel is 3 320, measured as the height of the channel projected down. (At the time of writing this index was at 3 446). One should expect more short-term decline here.
- This target coincides with (or is slightly below) line 1 support.
- The weekly stochastic (on top) is entering its oversold region but can decline a bit before becoming fully oversold (confirming the lower price target).
- For now, traders should be shorting on minor bounces until the downside target is reached.
- This index will provide a good buying opportunity, but not just yet.
* Colin Abrams is an independent technical analyst. To subscribe to more of his recommendations or to attend his courses, please go to www.themarket.co.za.