Rand buoyed by emerging market appetiteComment on this story
Johannesburg - South Africa's rand strengthened for a second day against the US dollar on Wednesday, supported by increased emerging market risk appetite and after the economy avoided slipping into recession in the previous session.
The local unit rallied to its strongest in six-days against the greenback, trading at 10.6300 by 17:45 SA time, 0.44 percent stronger than its New York close.
Economist Jana van Deventer at ETM Analytics said the rand, along with other emerging market currencies, was being driven mainly by global, rather than local, factors.
Trade deficit and credit demand data due on Friday could give greater direction to the rand, he said.
“We recommend caution ahead of those releases as they are bound to show that South Africa remains subject to large twin deficits,” van Deventer said.
“I think this resilience could prove short-lived,” he added.
A Reuters poll predicts the July trade balance will widen to a 3.2 billion rand deficit, from 19 million rand deficit in June.
Reports that talks between Russia and Ukraine offered little to suggest an end to hostilities ensured that a degree of global capital continued to flow out of eastern Europe and into Latin American and African markets.
Increasing expectations that the euro zone could effect quantitative easing to boost its flagging economies also added to a risk-on slant towards some emerging markets.
Most government bonds continued to benefit after South Africa narrowly avoided a technical recession after the economy grew 0.6 percent in the second quarter.
The yield on the long-dated 2026 paper slipped below eight percent for the first time since May 15, shedding 125 basis points to 7.98 percent.
“This is the result of stronger equity markets and yields coming-off globally, as well as South Africa catching up,” bond trader Steve Arnold of Investec said.
However, the yield on the paper maturing next year added 4.5 basis to 6.545 percent. - Reuters