Treasury yields near high as markets brace for aggressive US rate rises

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Published Dec 2, 2016

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Singapore - Asian shares joined Wall Street

and Europe in surrendering some recent gains on Friday,

retreating on the possibility of faster-than-expected US interest rate increases that boosted 10-year US Treasury

yields to an 18-month high overnight.

European shares were headed for a lower start, with

financial spreadbetters expecting the Euro STOXX 50 index to

open 0.8 percent lower, Britain's FTSE 100 to shed 0.7

percent and Germany's DAX to begin the day 0.6 percent

lower.

Investors in Europe remain nervous ahead of a constitutional

referendum in Italy and a presidential election in Austria this

weekend.

Yields for 10-year US Treasuries pulled back

to 2.4357 percent on Friday, after touching an 18-month high of

2.492 percent on Thursday.

Investors will be looking to the U.S. non-farm payrolls

report later in the day for further evidence of improvement in

the economy, after data showed factory activity accelerating in

November and construction spending at a seven-month high in

October.

The strong data have boosted interest rate expectations,

which have already been running high due to anticipated

inflationary pressures from rising oil prices and

President-elect Donald Trump's promises of fiscal stimulus.

"We've seen a super strong streak of data coming out of the

U.S. and the market is starting to price, with a higher

certainty, more aggressive rate hikes by the Fed," said

Christopher Moltke-Leth, head of institutional client trading at

Saxo Capital Markets in Singapore.

"This is a concern for stocks."

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

dropped 0.9 percent, and was on track to end the

week 0.3 percent lower.

Japan's Nikkei, which jumped to an 11-month high on

Thursday, closed down 0.5 percent on Friday, but still posted a

weekly gain of 0.24 percent.

China's CSI 300 index retreated 1 percent,

shrinking gains for the week to 0.2 percent. Hong Kong's Hang

Seng index, Asia's biggest decliner on Friday with a 1.2

percent drop, is heading for a 0.6 percent weekly loss.

South Korean shares dropped 0.7 percent, poised for

a loss of 0.2 percent for the week, after opposition parties

said they would propose a motion later on Friday to impeach

President Park Geun-hye over an influence-peddling scandal, with

the intention of holding a vote on her impeachment on Dec. 9.

Also contributing to higher inflation expectations is the

recent jump in oil prices.

Global benchmark Brent futures jumped to a 16-month

high of $54.53 a barrel on Thursday after the Organization of

Petroleum Exporting Countries agreed its first output cuts since

2008. Russia also agreed to reduce production for the first time

in 15 years.

They pulled back 1.2 percent on Friday to $53.32 as

investors took profits, but are set for a weekly rise of 12.9

percent.

Having climbed almost 13 percent in the past two days, U.S.

crude surrendered some gains on Friday, falling 0.8

percent to $50.64. It is on track for an increase of 9.9 percent

this week.

On Wall Street, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average

set a record closing high, the S&P 500 and the

Nasdaq ended the day with losses as expensive technology

stocks pulled back.

The dollar, which hit the highest level since February versus

the yen earlier on Thursday, was flat at 114.055 yen amid

caution over the jobs report.

It remains on track for a weekly gain of 0.8 percent.

"The dollar could test the 115 yen threshold depending on

how the U.S. jobs report turns out," said Daisuke Karakama,

market economist at Mizuho Bank.

The dollar index, which tracks the greenback against

a basket of six major global peers, slipped 0.3 percent on

Friday, extending losses for the week to 0.7 percent.

The British pound touched a near-two-month high

versus the dollar on Thursday after Brexit minister David Davis

said Britain would consider paying into the European Union

budget for market access.

Sterling added 0.2 percent from Thursday's close to trade at

$1.2617 on Friday, heading for a weekly rise of 1.1 percent.

The euro also strengthened on Thursday, rising 0.7

percent, and added 0.2 percent to $1.06825 on Friday, putting it

on track for a 1 percent increase this week.

REUTERS

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