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 Melting ice driving elevation of oceans
    November 19 2008 at 11:48AM Get IOL on your
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Paris - Runoff from ice caps in Antarctica and Greenland along with melting mountain glaciers have replaced expanding oceans as the main driver of rising sea levels, according to a new study.

The rate at which the global ocean water mark rises could have a devastating impact on hundreds of millions of people living in low-lying areas around the world.

Earlier research had shown that sea levels crept up and average of 3,1 millimetres per year from 1993 to 2003.

More than half of that increase came from a process called thermal expansion whereby the ocean gains in mass as climate change pushes global temperatures upward.
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The other half, climate scientists calculated, was caused by land ice, especially dwindling glaciers in mountain ranges such as the Himalayas and Andes.

The new study, drawing on data from two new observational systems, shows that thermal expansion - which is cyclical over periods measured in decades - essentially stopped after 2003.

But sea levels continued to rise, though at the slightly diminished rate of 2,5 millimetres per year.

Which left scientists wondering: if the water had stopped expanding, what was now driving the continuing elevation of the world's oceans?

The answer, it turns out, are the only two masses of ice on Earth big enough to qualify as ice sheets: Greenland and Antarctica. Both are up to three kilometres thick, and Greenland - the smaller of the two - is about the size of Mexico.

"During the last decade, Antarctica and Greenland only contributed about 0,5 mm per year to rising sea levels whereas today it is about 1,0 mm per year," said Anny Cazenave, a scientist at France's National Centre for Space Studies and lead author of the paper.

"This was surprising," she said by phone.

The ice sheet that sits atop Greenland contains enough water to raise world ocean levels by seven metres.


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