The number of white South Africans will decrease by eight percent by 2025, according to a report by the SA Institute of Race Relations.
And by 2015, coloured South Africans will be the next largest race group in the country after Africans.
By 2040, there will be 20 percent fewer white South Africans than in 2010.
“The decline in the white and Indian populations is attributed to a combination of low fertility rates and higher emigration rates. the white population group has emigrated on a larger scale than other race groups, although a slowdown is foreseen,” according to the report authored by Thuthukani Ndebele.
“The African and coloured population groups are predicted to increase at a slower rate, largely because of HIV-Aids and declining fertility rates.”
The report was based on findings of a 2008 Actuarial Society of South Africa project, among others.
It found that HIV-Aids had a major effect on the structure of the African component of the South African population.
The marked decrease of the African population in the 35-39 age group is explained by the high prevalence rate of HIV-Aids in this group.
A decrease is also apparent in the white population in the 24-35 age groups, attributed to the high rate of emigration of white people of working age.
The greater numbers of elderly white people was due to better access to private health care, less poverty, and a higher standard of living.
The coloured population, although relatively stable, had a higher mortality rate in the 15-24 age group. - Cape Times
where is the love., wrote
I don't know why I read these stupid comments.I'm always appalled at the views of my fellow South Africans. You all complain about SA but you fail to see that the biggest problem in SA is not unemployment, not the Government, not crime but YOUR ATTITUDES! All you do is complain. And in a very racist manner. Yes you use the words "goverment" "ANC" "them" and such but what you really mean is "Blacks" I doubt any of you are ready to contribute meaningfully to South Africa. You lot are only in SA because it pays you to be there. Immigrate already, we'd be better off without you and your views, regardless of your race.
Brendan, YOU MY FRIEND NEED HELP. You do realize that you could be a victim of crime overseas. Terrorists are always hating on those countries. Not to mention, earthquakes, tsunami's! SA has it good!
Yippeee! So nice, this is indeed a very good news - rejoicing, how I wished that the eight percent reffered to was actually an eighty percent decline by 2025. They must leave at an even faster pace, those BLOODY AGENTS and SETTLERS.
I don't think this is entirely accurate. There was an unnecessary panic and mass exodus in the early 90's and a large percentage of school leavers from my year emmigrated. Now I am discovering a lot of them have either moved back, or are wanting to move back. Consider the change in lifestyle, especially moving to the UK, from living in a sprawling suburban house in SA to a tiny, depressing, pokey flat in the UK because that is all money can get. They sacrificed their happiness and luxuries for their own ignorance and spend their days talking to other immigrants about how sh*t SA has become, to justify their moving and make them feel better. I have stayed in SA all the time and I feel much better off for it.
@Brendan and Other expats, If things are so good on the other side, why you keep comming back to have a look at IOL's news of the day. Go stick your head in BBC and Sky News, unless of course you miss us!
I’m not in the slightest bit concerned about white people leaving SA, I'm more concerned about SA working holistically. Whoever wants to leave should, we live in a democracy. Besides the white people who live here are not the alpha and omega of professionalism and skills there are plenty of people in diaspora who want to come back but haven’t found their niche here yet. Take it from a child of exile who is happy to be back, white people…. not all that!
By 2100 they will be no wit ous in SA
Ian Rhodes, wrote
@Brendan (aka Whinging Zimbabwean) - I am so pleased that you have left Africa - the less of your kind here the better!
@Brendan...If you happy where you are, why are you still interested in Africa? Who are you trying to fool? The reason the white population is declining has to do with fertility rates and nothing to do with the government
Ezanga Lokola, wrote
Yerr! You people and race! yUcK man! Dont comment here if you have nothing positive to say. Stay in your Canada freezer! Some aspects of this article 100% spot on.
Brendan, I'm supprised you said Zimbabwe, people with your views tend say Rhodesia
Brendan,people like you are call `SOUTIES` please dont come back,keep your pounds & your `I told you so`
A simple statistical piece and it turns into a thinly veiled race war. We're so unsophisticated and misguided, some of you need to travel more because the grass isn't always greener and I've lived outside just South Africa for a number of years to know that.
Count me in(us)...half is gone allready(Rich whites and over skilled).........and they have never been better ......!!!!! I am soon..........
Not that this is any new news, this must however still be music to the ANC and ever racist's ears. The ANC's racist policies and a crime rate they give lip service to, is in full swing. There was no need for a blood bath during the political transition period, just introduce racist policies like the previous government which will drive whites together with their skills away out of the country. Was it not just in 1994, that the white population stood at 5.5 million. A lot more whites would have left if they could have, including myself. At least my only daughter did, now living in a country that repects her knowledge and skills and her skin colour means squat.
Yo brendan im glad people like you have left. Im a proud south african and wont leave unless I have to. So glad you gone, cheers bro.
Maybe its not such a bad thing that the whites leave the country...in a matter of fact its a good thing because when we are tired of the current Gov and time to topple to it has come then there will be no white people who will take advantage of that and try to be in power again. Leave the African struggle to Africans...Aluta Continua.
this is BULLS**T, why the decrease to whites is attributed to low fertility rate and emigration but to blacks and coloureds its because of AIDS? Dont whites and Indians get AIDS? This is a bunch of NONSENCE.
I've already left. I'm safely overseas where my expertise are rewarded in Pounds not South African zimrands. if I'd known it was this good here, I would have left a lot sooner. I might return one day, when SA is worse off than Zimbabwe, when people are eating off the streets like dogs, and begging the white man to come back, I might return ... to say I told you so!! I'm originally from Zimbabwe, what's happening in SA is like a very scary de javu.
annette roos, wrote
The 'come on over' attitude of the ANC to China means 12 moving into a flat for 6, excessive use of water and electricity which pushes tariffs into a higher bracket at a cost to all, wear and tear on all resources due to overcrowding and over-use. The problems are endless. Be warned. I speak from experience.