Threats to companies sour Scottish vote

Members of the Orange Order march in Edinburgh on Saturday. About 12 000 Protestant loyalists from Northern Ireland and Scotland marched in an emotional show of support for keeping Scotland in the UK when Scots vote in Thursday's referendum. Photo: Reuters

Members of the Orange Order march in Edinburgh on Saturday. About 12 000 Protestant loyalists from Northern Ireland and Scotland marched in an emotional show of support for keeping Scotland in the UK when Scots vote in Thursday's referendum. Photo: Reuters

Published Sep 15, 2014

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Edinburgh - The campaign battle over Scottish independence took a bitter turn on Saturday when a senior nationalist warned businesses such as BP that they could face punishment for voicing concern over the impact of secession.

With the fate of the UK on a knife edge, the economic future of Scotland has become one the most fiercely debated issues just days before Scots decide on whether to break away.

Nationalists accuse British Prime Minister David Cameron of co-ordinating a scare campaign by business leaders aimed at spooking voters, while unionists say separation is fraught with financial and economic uncertainty.

But former Scottish National Party deputy leader Jim Sillars went much further than separatist leader Alex Salmond, warning that BP’s operations in Scotland might face nationalisation if Scots voted for secession on Thursday.

“This referendum is about power, and when we get a ‘yes’ majority we will use that power for a day of reckoning with BP and the banks,” Sillars, a nationalist rival of Salmond’s, was quoted by Scottish media as saying.

“BP, in an independent Scotland, will need to learn the meaning of nationalisation, in part or in whole, as it has in other countries who have not been as soft as we have been forced to be,” Sillars said.

When asked about the comments in a BBC radio interview on Saturday, Sillars confirmed he had raised the prospect of nationalisation but said he had used the term to get media coverage and that nationalisation was not on the table.

A BP spokesman declined to comment. A spokeswoman for the Scottish nationalists could not be reached for comment.

The chief executive of BP, Bob Dudley, has said that Scottish independence could cause his company “uncertainties” and that he did not want to see Scotland drifting away.

“The heads of these companies are rich men, in cahoots with a rich English Tory prime minister, to keep Scotland’s poor poorer through lies and distortions,” Sillars was quoted in Scottish media as saying.

“The power they have now to subvert our democracy will come to an end with a ‘yes’.”

In an extraordinarily strong attack on business, Sillars also said financial institutions such as Standard Life would face tougher employment laws after a vote for independence.

Major banks, oil companies and supermarkets have said that a vote for secession would create concern. North Sea oil would have to be divided up while there was uncertainty over the future currency and central bank of an independent Scotland.

Deutsche Bank said a vote for independence would be a mistake akin to Winston Churchill’s decision to return the pound to the gold standard or the failure of the US Federal Reserve to provide sufficient liquidity to the US banks, decisions that helped bring on the Great Depression.

“These decisions – well intentioned as they were – contributed to years of depression and suffering and could have been avoided had alternative decisions been taken,” David Folkerts-Landau, Deutsche Bank’s chief economist, said in a note to clients.

“Foreign investors come to Scotland because they rely on a predictable investment environment. All of this comes from a united Great Britain.”

Such is the gravity of the situation that Finance Minister George Osborne cancelled a trip to the Group of 20 (G20) meeting in Cairns, which takes place the weekend after the vote. Bank of England governor Mark Carney will leave the G20 meeting early.

Investors pulled $27 billion (almost R300bn) out of UK financial assets last month in the biggest capital outflow since the 2008 Lehman Brothers crisis as concern mounted over the fate of the UK, a report by consultancy CrossBorder Capital in London showed. - Reuters

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