Business still confident despite upheaval – SACCI

Published May 4, 2017

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Johannesburg –

The South African Chamber of Commerce and Industry says positive developments

in the economy informed April’s business climate.

In a statement

released on Thursday, the chamber notes its Business Confidence Index (BCI) contains

sub-indices that instantly reacted to events at the end of March into April

pertaining to political developments, policy uncertainty and lower credit

ratings.

At the end of March, former Finance Minister Pravin

Gordhan was recalled from an international roadshow to the UK and US. He was

subsequently axed and replaced by Malusi Gigaba, which led to SA being

downgraded to junk by S&P and Fitch.

SACCI notes, however, that nine of the 13 sub-indices

making up the BCI were still affected by the business climate prior to the

referred events.

“Positive developments in the economy therefore still

informed the business climate in April 2017 and were vibrant enough to carry

the positive business climate forward into April 2017.”

The index improved by 1.1 index points to 94.9 in April

2017 from 93.8 in March 2017. However, the April 2017 BCI is 0.6 index points

lower than in April 2016.

SACCI says the positive month-on-month change

in five of the thirteen sub-indices of the BCI lifted the index in April 2017,

although four of the five sub-indices reflected positive business conditions

prior to April.

Three of the seven real activity sub-indices (all but new

vehicle sales being prior April conditions) were positive. Four of the six

financial sub-indices (three sub-indices prior April conditions) either

improved or remained unchanged in April.

However, it also notes the year-on-year movements of

the sub-indices show that the business climate deteriorated from April 2016 to

April 2017.

BUSINESS REPORT

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