JOHANNESBURG – Expectation is said to be the root of all disappointment, which seems to be the case for South African investors as of late. This is according to the latest Schroders Global Investor Study, which, after surveying more than 25 000 investors across 32 countries, found that South African expectations of future earnings are significantly higher than the majority of their global counterparts.
Speaking at an event hosted in Johannesburg this morning to unpack the 2019 study findings, Doug Abbott, Schroders South Africa Country Head, noted that these high expectations are despite the fact that most local respondents failed to achieve their investment objectives over the past five years.
“The research shows that over the next five years, South African investors expect to make an average annual total return (income and capital growth) of 13.8 percent, which is more than 3 percent higher than global investors’ expectations (10.7 percent). These relatively high expectations are despite the fact that six-in-ten (59 percent) South Africans feel they didn't achieve their investment objectives over the past five years, which is higher than global investors (51 percent).”
Abbott suggests that the expectations being exhibited by local investors are due to the good long-term returns that South Africans have been able to achieve from equity markets, historically, and the need to achieve returns that can beat higher inflation rates than developed markets.
Unfortunately, Abbott says that globally and in South Africa, investors may need to manage their expectations, as future returns may not match their expectations. He points to Schroders’ latest predictions of 10-year returns to 2028, compared to returns over the 10 years to 2018, which show that future returns from market indices on a global level may be limited.