File Photo: IOL
File Photo: IOL

The rand firms as central bank keeps rates on hold

By Olivia Kumwenda-Mtambo and Naledi Mashishi Time of article published Nov 22, 2019

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JOHANNESBURG - South Africa’s rand firmed on Thursday, supported by a weaker dollar and the central bank’s decision to keep the repo rate unchanged, while stocks edged lower.

The U.S. dollar eased against other major currencies, with investors focused on the latest developments in a 16-month long trade dispute between the United States and China that has weighed on the world economy.

At 18:50 the rand was 0.59% firmer at 14.7000 per dollar.

The currency touched a session high of 14.6410 after the central bank kept the repo rate at 6.5% in a close decision. The bank said it wanted to see inflation expectations closer to the midpoint of its target range, despite a sustained drop in headline inflation.

“The decision was not surprising against the backdrop of elevated inflation risks in both domestic and global economies,” Nedbank analysts said in a note.

“A further improvement of inflation expectations would boost chances of a cut in January and this could be helped by another low headline CPI figure in December,” the Nedbank analysts said. “However, the proximity of the National Budget in February 2020 may prevent an early cut.”

On the stock market, stocks fell alongside other emerging market equities after as a diplomatic row between the United States and China sparked fears of a delay to a deal to end a trade war that has dented global growth and unsettled financial markets.

The benchmark JSE Top-40 Index fell 1.44% to 50,235.68 points while the broader All-Share Index fell 1.35% to 56,540.25 points.

Financials took the biggest tumble on the blue-chip index, with insurance and financial services company Discovery down 4.4% at 128.75 rand and Absa Group down 4.08% at 158.53 rand.

Preventing further losses was retailer Mr Price Group which shot up 11.25% to the top of the index after reporting total revenue growth of 2.6% even though profits were down 10% because of the weak economy and an imbalance in product ranges.

In fixed income, the yield on the benchmark 2026 bond added 2.5 basis points to 8.33%.


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