Are the days of owning a car numbered?

A car waits to enter the financial district security zone near the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City

A car waits to enter the financial district security zone near the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City

Published Mar 26, 2017

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Washington - Recent years have seen an explosion in services that offer a

product for a flat monthly fee. No longer the domain of magazines or

newspapers, the subscription model now supports everything from streaming music

to clothing shipments.

Now, that approach is increasingly coming to the

automobile. Since its debut in February, between 4 000 and 5 000 people have

signed up for a Cadillac pilot project that lets drivers swap one automobile

for another almost as easily as they can switch TV shows, according to the

company.

The program, known as Book by Cadillac, charges $1 500 a

month and lets drivers cancel anytime. The premium service grants access to 10

Cadillac models. Using a smartphone, customers can trade in their vehicles up

to 18 times a year. So far, the program has only been available in the New York

City area, but in light of its popularity, it could expand to other big cities,

Cadillac said.

"There's potential for global expansion," said

Andrew Lipman, a Cadillac spokesman. "There are a lot of ways we can

expand this. But we want to hone in and perfect the program here in New York

first."

The Cadillac project is targeted at consumers of luxury

vehicles. But GM has also explored a similar business model in its more

mainstream Chevrolet line, with a test program launched earlier this month

known as Maven Reserve. That service allows drivers in Los Angeles and San

Francisco to rent a Chevy Tahoe or Volt for up to 28 days for a flat monthly

fee. Both programs appear superficially similar to leasing, but are more

expensive, cover maintenance and insurance and come with added perks, such as

Cadillac's on-the-fly swapping system and Maven's offer of $100 worth of fuel

and a dedicated parking space for each rental.

Big bet

The two programmes reflect a big bet on the future of car

ownership. At a time when rising debt and lower wages have forced some

Americans, particularly younger ones, to put off major purchases such as homes

and cars, alternatives to traditional car ownership are poised to become more

common, said Johanna Zmud, a senior research scientist at Texas A&M's

Transportation Institute. Other factors contributing to a long-term shift in

ownership patterns are changing marriage rates, said Zmud, as well as a growing

tendency for Americans to congregate in dense urban areas.

Shifting beliefs about ownership are not only giving rise

to vehicle sharing, but also greater flexibility in vehicle types. Rather than

purchasing and holding onto the same car for a decade or more, consumers who

use car subscription services are able to choose different vehicles to suit

different needs on-the-fly. For example, the same car subscription could allow

drivers to select a fuel-efficient sedan for weekday commutes while letting

them switch to an SUV for weekend getaways.

Some competitors to GM have begun to offer this feature,

as well. Car2Go, which serves Washington, New York City, Portland, Oregon and

Austin, Texas, recently expanded its fleet of tiny, zippy Smart cars to include

larger Mercedes-Benz sedans and SUVs. Those vehicles can be rented on daily,

hourly and by-the-minute rates. For short trips across town, Car2Go's prices

are competitive with those of ride-hailing services such as Uber or Lyft.

Both of GM's programs are substantially more expensive.

Even Maven Reserve, which is targeted at Chevy drivers, costs upward of $1 100

a month. Beyond the largely affluent markets where it's being tested, it is

unclear whether there is much of a market for GM's subscription services. BMW had

considered offering a similar platform for its vehicles, but balked at the

business case, according to the Wall Street Journal.

Still, with societal trends pushing Americans to give up

the hunk of metal and alloy sitting in their driveways, it's clear that

experiments with new business models are not going away.

WASHINGTON POST

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