GLOBAL MARKETS - Asian shares gain ahead of Yellen's comments

Published Jul 12, 2017

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Tokoyo - Asian shares gained on Wednesday

after Wall Street managed to weather a fresh twist in the

controversy over US President Donald Trump's alleged

connection with Russia, while investors looked ahead to Federal

Reserve Chair Janet Yellen's comments.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

ticked up 0.4 percent. Japan's yen-sensitive

Nikkei slid 0.3 percent on the yen's gains but MSCI's

dollar-denominated Japan index gained 0.4

percent.

US stocks took a brief tumble after emails disclosed

Trump's eldest son welcomed help from a Russian lawyer for his

father's 2016 election campaign against Hillary

Clinton.

But by the closing bell, Wall Street shares had clawed back

their losses.

"The e-mails look pretty bad but then again they don't look

like decisive evidence (for illegal behaviour) either. I doubt

this alone would lead to a risk-off market," said Hiroko Iwaki,

senior fixed income strategist at Mizuho Securities.

US shares were helped in part as the Senate announced a

two-week delay to its August recess to allow more time to tackle

a measure that would repeal key parts of Obamacare, as well as

pursue other legislative priorities.

Still, it remained unclear whether US Senate Republicans

have the votes to pass the measure or even what form it would

finally take.

On the other hand, the dollar failed to recover after the

damage suffered from the new twist in the Trump campaign's

alleged links with Russia.

The euro vaulted to a 14-month high of $1.1484 in

Asian trade.

The dollar also lost steam against the yen, which had been

under renewed pressure following Friday's bond-buying by the

Bank of Japan which highlighted divergent monetary polices

between the two countries.

The US currency dropped 0.3 percent to 113.60 yen,

slipping from a four-month high of 114.495 yen touched on

Tuesday.

The dollar index against a basket of six major currencies

was hovering at 95.64, within sight of its

nine-month low of 95.47 plumbed at the end of June.

US Treasuries yields stayed below their recent peaks, with

the 10-year yield at 2.355 percent, compared with

2.398 percent marked on Friday, its loftiest level in almost two

months.

Ahead of Fed Chair Yellen's testimony to Congress on the

state of the US economy from 1400 GMT, two of her colleagues

cited low wage growth and muted inflation as reasons for caution

on further interest rate increases.

Fed Governor Lael Brainard embraced the plan to reduce the

balance sheet "soon," but suggested her support for any future

rate increases will depend in part on how inflation shapes up.

Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari

said he finds it hard to believe that the US economy is in

danger of overheating when wage growth is so low.

Traders trimmed expectations of a rate hike by the end of

the year, with dollar interest rate futures pricing in

about a 55 percent chance compared to about 60 percent earlier,

while most investors expect the Fed to decide to start shrinking

its balance sheet in September.

"Yellen has indicated after the June policy meeting, in the

clearest way as possible by her standards, that she plans to

start balance sheet reduction and there will be one more rate

hike this year. Since then, there's been no big changes in the

economy," said Tomoaki Shishido, senior market economist at

Nomura Securities.

"I would think the US CPI data on Friday could be more

important. If the Fed's assessment that the softness in CPI

between February and May is transitory, the Fed will go ahead

with its plan. If that's not the case, some Fed policymakers

will want to revise that plan," he added.

Reaction was largely muted to a story by Politico that

Trump is increasingly unlikely to nominate Yellen next year for

a second term, and National Economic Council Director Gary Cohn

is the leading candidate to succeed her.

Oil prices extended gains from the previous day as the US government cut its crude production outlook for next year and as

fuel inventories plunged.

US crude futures rose 1.6 percent to $45.75 per

barrel, extending their recovery from Monday's near two-week low

of $43.65. Brent futures gained 1.4 percent to $48.16

per barrel.

Both contracts have risen above their 50 percent retracement

of their fall between mid-last week and Monday.

Reuters

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