Indonesia to hold neutral monetary policy stance

Published Jun 18, 2017

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Jakarta - Indonesia’s

central bank kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged as expected and

signaled it will maintain its neutral stance if inflation and the currency

remain in line with forecasts.

Governor Agus Martowardojo

and his board held the seven-day reverse repurchase rate at 4.75 percent, as

forecast by all 28 economists surveyed by Bloomberg. The bank went on a cutting

spree last year, lowering rates six times, but has been on hold since the last

move in October as inflation pressures picked up.

“We will not change our

stance as long as there’s no sign of an impact on inflation, in particular core

inflation, and the expectation of depreciation in the exchange

rate,” Assistant Governor Dody Budi Waluyo told reporters in Jakarta.

Inflation which hit a

14-month high of 4.3 percent last month, mainly due to higher energy costs is

set to remain elevated through June as Indonesians mark Ramadan, the Muslim

fasting month when food prices generally spike. The central bank aims to keep

inflation in a range of 3 percent to 5 percent.

Martowardojo said last week

that government-controlled prices which climbed 9.14 percent in May from a year

earlier and include costs like electricity tariffs would continue to be a

concern for the central bank board.

Bank Indonesia eased

policy last year to help support an economy that grew 5 percent in 2016. The

World Bank said in its quarterly economic report on Thursday that growth will

probably reach 5.2 percent this year and 5.3 percent in 2018. The central bank

is forecasting expansion of 5 percent to 5.4 percent this year.

“Looking ahead, the economy

would benefit from further support from the central bank," though a rate

cut is unlikely, said Gareth Leather, a senior Asia economist at Capital

Economics Ltd. in London.

Read also:  SA's monetary policy still 'accommodative'

Tighter US monetary

policy is also giving Indonesian policy maker’s reason to pause, given the

potential for foreign outflows from emerging markets and currency volatility.

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates on Wednesday for a second time this

year and signalled it would continue on its tightening path.

Indonesia’s rupiah has gained 1.4 percent against the dollar

this year, buoyed by inflows from a tax amnesty and an improving growth

outlook. The currency was at 13,286 against the dollar as of 5:30 p.m. in Jakarta. The yield on

benchmark 10-year government bonds dropped to 6.84 percent, the lowest rate

since Aug. 18, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

BLOOMBERG

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