Google data shines light on whether coronavirus lockdowns worldwide are working

Kirstenbosch National Botanical Gardens in Cape Town. South Africans are forced to stay indoors for 21 days from Thursday, March 26, to April 16, as a national lockdown has been called in an attempt to contain the spread of Covid-19. Picture: David Ritchie/African News Agency (ANA)

Kirstenbosch National Botanical Gardens in Cape Town. South Africans are forced to stay indoors for 21 days from Thursday, March 26, to April 16, as a national lockdown has been called in an attempt to contain the spread of Covid-19. Picture: David Ritchie/African News Agency (ANA)

Published Apr 3, 2020

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Oakland, California - Alphabet Inc's

Google has published charts showing how the

coronavirus has brought hard-hit Italy to a standstill, led to

runs on grocery stores around the world and prompted a stark

drop in going-out between Mardi Gras and St Patrick's Day.

The analysis of location data from billions of Google users'

phones is the largest public dataset available to help health

authorities assess if people are abiding with shelter-in-place

and similar orders issued across the world to rein in the virus.

The company released reports for 131 countries with charts

that compare traffic from February 16 to March 29 to retail and

recreational venues, train and bus stations, grocery stores and

workplaces with a five-week period earlier this year.

Google said it published the reports to avoid any confusion

about what it was providing to authorities, given the global

debate that has emerged about balancing privacy-invasive

location tracking with the need to prevent further outbreaks.

The data often correlated with the severity of outbreaks and

the harshness and breadth of orders imposed by governments.

Italy and Spain, two of the hardest-hit countries, both saw

visits to retail and recreation locations such as restaurants

and movie theaters plunge 94%. The United Kingdom, France and

Philippines had declines of more than 80% while India, which

went into a sudden 21-day lockdown on March 25, was also notable

at 77%.

In the United States, where state responses have varied

greatly, and in Australia, where good weather initially prompted

many people to go the beach before social distancing measures

were ratcheted up, the drops were less steep at under 50%.

In contrast, in Japan and Sweden, where authorities have not

imposed harsh restrictions, visits to retail and recreation

sites fell by roughly only a quarter. While in South Korea,

which has successfully contained a large outbreak through

aggressive testing and contact tracing, the decline was just

19%.

The data also underscore some challenges authorities have

faced in keeping people apart. Grocery store visits surged in

Singapore, the United Kingdom and elsewhere as travel

restrictions were set to go into place. Visits to parks spiked

in March in some San Francisco Bay Area counties under lockdown

in California, forcing them to later put the sites off limits.

The data also underscores how the mood of people around the

world has shifted. In New Orleans, during its annual Mardi Gras

celebrations Feb.16-25, which has with hindsight been criticized

for helping spread the virus, there were off-the-chart increases

in traffic to transit stations, parks and businesses.

A snapshot of Google's mobility report for South Africa.

But three weeks later in Dublin, heart of St. Patrick's

holiday celebrations, traffic was down at retail and

recreational venues as the country ordered big events canceled.

Within countries, there were wide gaps in behavior by

region. California, which was the first in the US with a

statewide lockdown, cut visits to retail and recreation

locations by half. In New York state, the slide in such visits

was gradual as officials waited to impose strict curbs but they

eventually fell 62%. By contrast, Arkansas, one of the few

states without a sweeping lockdown, had the smallest decline at

29%.

The coronavirus has infected more than 1 million people

globally, and Covid-19, the respiratory illness it causes, has

killed 52 000, according to a Reuters tally.

There were no reports for China and Iran, where Google

services are blocked.

BALANCING PRIVACY

Data in Google's reports come from users who enabled

Google's "Location History" feature on their devices. The

company said it adopted technical measures to ensure that no

individual could be identified through the new reports.

"These reports have been developed to be helpful while

adhering to our stringent privacy protocols and policies," Dr.

Karen DeSalvo, chief health officer for Google Health and Jen

Fitzpatrick, senior vice president for Google Geo, wrote in a

blog post.

China, Singapore, South Korea and other countries have asked

residents to use apps and other technology to track their

compliance with quarantines, but privacy activists argue such

measures can compromise individual liberties.

Infectious disease specialists have said analyzing travel

across groups by age, income and other demographics could help

shape public service announcements.

Google, which infers demographics from users' internet use

as well as some data given when signing up to Google services,

said it was not reporting demographic information. The company

said, though, it was open to including additional information

and countries in follow-up reports.

Google said consultations with officials in the U.S. and the

World Health Organization helped inform the data shared.

The company declined to comment on whether it has received

any legal requests to share more detailed data to help with

efforts to tackle the pandemic.

Facebook Inc, which like Google has billions of

users, has shared location data with non-governmental

researchers that are producing similar reports for authorities

in several countries. But the social media giant has not

published any findings.

Click here for Google's 

.

Reuters

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