'Highly likely' Iran downed Ukraine airliner with missiles, says Canada's PM

Published Jan 10, 2020

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Ottawa/Washington - A Ukrainian airliner

that crashed in Iran, killing all 176 people aboard, was likely

brought down by an Iranian missile, Canada's prime minister,

Justin Trudeau, said on Thursday, citing intelligence from

Canadian and other sources.

The destruction of the airliner, which carried 63 Canadians,

"may well have been unintentional," Trudeau told a news

conference in Ottawa.

"We have intelligence from multiple sources, including our

allies and our own intelligence. The evidence indicates that the

plane was shot down by an Iranian surface-to-air missile," he

said.

The Ukraine International Airlines flight to Kiev from

Tehran crashed on Wednesday hours after Iran fired ballistic

missiles at U.S. targets in Iraq, and Iranians were on high

alert for a U.S. military response. https://tmsnrt.rs/36Fn26m

Trudeau said his government would not rest until it had

obtained closure, transparency, accountability and justice.

Earlier on Thursday, a U.S. official, citing an extensive

review of satellite data, said Washington had concluded with a

high degree of certainty that anti-aircraft missiles brought

down the plane. The official said the Boeing 737-800 had

been tracked by Iranian radar.

The U.S. government believes Iran shot down the plane by

mistake, three U.S. officials told Reuters.

The data showed the plane was airborne for two minutes after

departing Tehran when the heat signatures of two surface-to-air

missiles were detected, one of the officials said.

That was quickly followed by an explosion in the vicinity of

the plane, the official said. Heat signature data then showed it

on fire as it went down. Heat signatures are infrared emissions

detected by U.S. military satellites.

The New York Times said it had obtained and verified a video

that appeared to show an Iranian missile hitting a plane near

Tehran airport.

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau participates in a candlelight vigil to remember the victims of the Ukraine International Airlines plane crash in Ottawa, Ontario. The civilian Ukrainian jetliner crashed near Tehran late Tuesday, killing all 176 people on board. Picture: Adrian Wyld/The Canadian Press via AP

'PSYCHOLOGICAL WARFARE'

Iran denied that the airliner had been hit by a missile.

"All these reports are a psychological warfare against Iran

... all those countries whose citizens were aboard the plane can

send representatives and we urge Boeing to send its

representative to join the process of investigating the black

box," government spokesman Ali Rabiei said in a statement.

An initial report issued by Iran's civil aviation

organisation on Thursday said the 3-year-old airliner, which had

its last scheduled maintenance on Monday, encountered a

technical problem shortly after takeoff and started to head

toward a nearby airport before it crashed.

Speaking to reporters at the White House, U.S. President

Donald Trump said he did not believe the crash of the airliner

was due to a mechanical issue.

"It's a tragic thing. But somebody could have made a mistake

- on the other side," Trump said.

Riki Ellison, a defense expert and founder of the Missile

Defense Advocacy Alliance, said the radar signature of a Boeing

airliner would have been quite similar to a large U.S. military

transport plane.

"They (the Iranians) were on full alert to shoot down

anything that resembled a U.S. aircraft. Somebody made a

mistake by identifying it as a warplane," Ellison said.

Once the missiles were fired, it would have been impossible

to divert them, even if the ground operators realized their

error, he said. "Once you shoot those things, it's over."

Tensions between Washington and Tehran have risen since

Trump ordered the U.S. drone killing of a top Iranian general on

Friday. Trump has refrained from ordering more military action

and Iran's foreign minister said the strikes on Iraqi bases that

house U.S. forces had "concluded" Tehran's response.

Members of Montreal's Iranian community attend a vigil, Thursday, Jan. 9, 2019 in downtown Montreal. Picture: Andrej Ivanov/The Canadian Press via AP

TECHNICAL PROBLEM

Investigations into airliner crashes require regulators,

experts and companies across several international jurisdictions

to work together. It can take months to fully determine the

cause and issuing an initial report within 24 hours is rare.

The Ukrainian airliner took off at 6:12 a.m. and was given

permission to climb to 26,000 feet (7,925 m), Iran's report

said. It crashed six minutes later near the town of Sabashahr.

There was no radio communication from the pilot and the

aircraft disappeared from radar at 8,000 feet (2,440 m), the

report said.

Bodies and body parts recovered from the site of the crash

were taken to the coroner's office for identification, it said.

Smouldering debris, including shoes and clothes, was strewn

across a field where the plane crashed. Rescue workers in face

masks laid out scores of body bags.

Ukraine had outlined four potential scenarios to explain the

crash, including a missile strike and terrorism. Kiev said its

investigators wanted to search the crash site for possible

debris of a Russian-made missile used by Iran's military.

The Transportation Safety Board of Canada said it had been

invited by Iran to the accident site and was making travel

arrangements.

Iran has formally invited the U.S. National Transportation

Safety Board (NTSB) to take part in its investigation and the

agency has agreed to assign an investigator, an Iranian official

told Reuters.

The NTSB said it had designated an accredited representative

to the investigation. "The NTSB continues to monitor the

situation surrounding the crash and evaluate its level of

participation in the investigation," it said in a statement.

Boeing Co said it would support the NTSB in the

investigation. The company is still reeling from two deadly

crashes of 737 MAX planes in five months that led to the plane's

grounding in March 2019. The 737-800 that crashed was built in

2016 and is the prior generation of the 737 before the MAX.

Boeing has built about 5,000 of those planes, which have a good

safety record.

The FAA had banned U.S. carriers from operating in the

airspace over Iraq, Iran, the Gulf of Oman and the waters

between Iran and Saudi Arabia in the hours after Iran's attack

on U.S.-led forces in Iraq. Several other airlines also diverted

flights.

OPSGROUP, which advises airlines on safety matters, said

that after the comments from Trudeau and U.S. officials pointing

to a missile downing, some flights inbound to Tehran were turned

around and diverted. The group advised operators not to fly to

airports in Iraq or Iran and said traffic flow over the

countries had greatly declined in the past 48 hours.

Reuters

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