Opinion - Those political leaders with despotic, dictatorial tendencies and dynastic ambitions should be watching the overthrow of Robert Mugabe in Zimbabwe, and especially the fall of his chosen successor from grace, with some trepidation.
There are also some amazing parallels between Zanu-PF and the ANC and the most significant would be the failure to rein in the reign of their reckless, ruthless, kleptocratic presidents, who put their insatiable appetite for greed above their primary electoral mandate, which was to serve the people.
In the annals of history, both presidents will be described as “liberators and villains” who looted their respective countries.
The lesson is clear: all the people cannot be fooled all the time. Certainly lots of food for thought for the ANC as it heads for its elective conference next month.
The timing could not be better for South Africans. This is one case where the events of Zimbabwe will benefit South Africans.
The catalyst for the events of the past week, the straw that broke the camel’s back, was the axing of vice-president Emmerson Mnangagwa by Mugabe, widely viewed as his successor, to clear the path for Grace Mugabe to become president.
The moral of the story: do not fire your vice-president, a lesson that Thabo Mbeki learnt bitterly.
This will end speculation that Deputy President Cyril Ramaphosa will be relieved of his post.
The second lesson is do not promote the leadership ambitions of the mother of your children to succeed you.
The view that liberation organisations as ruling parties in government normally begin to fall apart after two decades appears to hold true for Zimbabwe - and South Africa, where different factions of the ANC seem to be intent on tearing the party apart.
In the 1990s Zimbabwe had to deal with increasing poverty, unemployment and inequality, and an alliance of trade unions and civil society organisations merged to form the Movement for Democratic Change (MDC), led by Morgan Tsvangirai, the first real organised threat to the ruling Zanu-PF.
Sadly, South Africa is complicit in the Zimbabwe ruins and notwithstanding his protestations to the contrary, former president Mbeki must take some responsibility.
As Ranjeni Munusamy has succinctly argued: “Mbeki’s ‘quiet diplomacy’ approach was widely condemned for providing cover to Mugabe and his cohorts as they stole elections, collapsed the economy, clamped down on the opposition, abolished media freedom and turned Zimbabwe into a failed state.
“If South Africa had taken a firmer approach, there is no doubt that Mugabe would have been out of power years ago.”
Contrast Mbeki’s approach with the bold statement by then Zambian president Levy Mwanawasa in March 2007: “Quiet diplomacy has failed to help solve the political chaos and economic meltdown in Zimbabwe.
“As I speak right now, one SADC (Southern African Development Community) country has sunk into such economic difficulties that it may be likened to a sinking Titanic whose passengers are jumping out in a bid to save their lives.”
As reported in The Citi- zen newspaper, Mugabe’s assets include a R56-million Hong Kong mansion, a R138m Zimbabwe mansion and a R660m England palace. His net worth is estimated at R1.3billion. The ostentatious extravagance of his wife and children are well known.
In South Africa, the #GuptaLeaks information suggests that the Zuma family has substantial assets in Dubai.
Zuma has become a law unto himself, manipulating critical appointments in government and state-owned enterprises so that he, his family and cronies would benefit.
Responding to queries about why he reshuffled his cabinet, Zuma replied omi- nously: “The president of the Republic has the prerogative to appoint and remove members of Cabinet. I exercised this power after careful consideration There are reasons that are not necessary to be known by people.”
Mugabe succeeded in des- troying a prosperous country because the ruling Zanu-PF party failed to control him. The president became bigger than the party.
In South Africa, the ANC is going the same route, as acolytes pander to the whims, fancies and excesses of Zuma.
The difference is that the ANC has the power to halt and reverse this disastrous trajectory at its December 2017 elective conference. However, does it have the political will to do so?
An important difference between Zimbabwe and South Africa is that South Africa’s constitution is sacrosanct, the judiciary is independent and the media is free.
This is why South Africa remains a multi-party democracy.
But be warned - the ANC has been threatening to reduce these freedoms.
However, the consolation is the civil society giant is stirring, awakening and rising.
PS: There is no truth in the rumour that there is a quid-pro-quo deal being negotiated that the Mugabes will receive political asylum in South Africa, and this will be reciprocated by Zimbabwe for the outgoing captured president from the southern tip of the continent.