United Airlines does not expect to restore its schedule to Europe before spring, 2022, and to Asia until at least 2023. File picture: David J. Phillip/AP
United Airlines does not expect to restore its schedule to Europe before spring, 2022, and to Asia until at least 2023. File picture: David J. Phillip/AP

United Airlines CEO sees travel 'ups and downs' until more people are vaccinated

By Reuters Time of article published Jul 22, 2021

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By Tracy Rucinski and Sanjana Shivdas

The head of United Airlines expects a recovery in travel demand to continue despite a resurgence in Covid-19 spurred by the more contagious Delta variant but warned on Wednesday of vagaries until more people are vaccinated against the virus.

"There's going to be ups and downs between now and the time that enough of the world is vaccinated that this (pandemic)really proceeds into the background, which we look forward to," United chief executive Scott Kirby said on an investor call.

Chicago-based United reported late on Tuesday forecast-beating revenue for the three months to June on a strong domestic travel rebound and said it expects to return to profitability in the third quarter.

"We think the most likely outcome is that the continued recovery in demand continues largely unabated... because the evidence is overwhelming that someone who's vaccinated is highly protected against severe disease, hospitalisation and death," Kirby said.

Only around half of eligible Americans are fully vaccinated against Covid-19, fuelling a fresh vaccination push by US President Joe Biden.

Still, Kirby said both business and leisure demand had recovered faster than expected, with bookings "getting stronger and stronger every week".

Shares in United rose 3.5% in midday trading, in line with US airline index gains.

It expects business demand to improve by the end of the third quarter to be down about 40% to 45% versus the same period in 2019 before the pandemic as more businesses reopen.

A recovery in international travel, to which United is more exposed than rivals, hinges on the easing of border controls.

The US, for example, continues to bar entry to most non-US citizens who have been in Britain, the 26 Schengen nations in Europe without border controls, Ireland, China, India, South Africa, Iran and Brazil within the past 14 days.

United said it does not expect to restore its schedule to Europe before spring, 2022, and to Asia until at least 2023.

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