Rand rally ‘reduces some risk to inflation’

Deputy Governor of Reserve Bank , Daniel Mminele addresses the media at the JSE building in Sandton , north of Johannesburg. Photo : Nicholas Rama

Deputy Governor of Reserve Bank , Daniel Mminele addresses the media at the JSE building in Sandton , north of Johannesburg. Photo : Nicholas Rama

Published Aug 12, 2016

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Pretoria - The rand's recent rally reduces some risk to the inflation outlook, South Africa's central bank deputy governor said on Thursday, but he was unsure how long its strength would last.

Read also: SA economy suffers dramatic slowdown - data

The rand hit 10-month highs against the US dollar this week, as investors bought into higher yielding assets on expectations that interest rates in G7 economies would stay low.

Daniel Mminele said the central bank was cautiously optimistic about the rand's recent recovery and it “in some ways pares off” the risk to the inflation outlook.

“This might well just be a bit of a correction. It is important from a policy-maker's perspective to not overreact to short term market movements,” Mminele told journalists.

The central bank targets annual inflation of between 3 percent and 6 percent. Inflation was 6.3 percent in June.

The bank kept interest rates on hold at 7 percent that month, saying a weak economy had persuaded it to pause a cycle of hikes that it was ready to resume if price pressures picked up again.

At Thursday's media briefing, South African Reserve Bank governor Lesetja Kganyago said: “(The rand strength) has just provided us with a cushion over a period of time. We do not know for how long.”

REUTERS

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