In 2017, Steinhoff Africa Retail raised $697.68m on the JSE, the largest domestic IPO in Africa last year. Another large IPO was Vodacom Tanzania’s listing on the Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange, which raised $213.25m. There were two cross-border IPOs in Africa in 2017 by Swiss issuers. Aspire Global listed on the Nasdaq First North Exchange, raising $38.96m, and Rainbow Rare Earths raised $8.22m when it listed on the London Stock Exchange in 2017.
In South Africa, the election of Cyril Ramaphosa as the new ANC president resulted in an increase in positive market sentiment, reflected in the strengthening of the rand. Our clients and other market players are now sounding much more positive about capital markets, specifically in South Africa. There is more interest in capital markets of late than there has been in a few years. However, we will have to see to what extent the Steinhoff developments will put investors off.
Further, Africa’s uneven foreign direct investment (FDI) picture reflects the global uncertainty, but local challenges aggravate the unevenness. IPO activity is highly dependent on political and economic instability, particularly in the key markets of South Africa, Kenya, and Nigeria.
In 2016, more FDI flowed to the hub economies, with new east and west Africa clusters emerging. This trend also dominated in 2017, and while South Africa has the most attractive exchange for issuances, the new clusters are shaping up to drive the IPO landscape going forward. African economies have also engaged in repricing. The most tangible manifestation of this repricing has been a rapid fall in some currencies as export revenues slid. This has created shortages of foreign exchange.
The currency slide has in turn led to an increase in consumer prices, which impacted the retail, logistics and other consumer-orientated sectors. Currency falls, however, can also create longer-term opportunities, because assets become cheaper.
As more governments across the continent engage in the privatisation of state-owned entities and listings in the coming years, regulatory frameworks will be developed that will inspire market confidence in African bourses.
In addition, removing barriers to cross-border investments through regional integration would harmonise regulations and increase cross-border investments.
Wildu du Plessis is a partner and Head of Africa at Baker McKenzie in Johannesburg.
The views expressed in this article are not necessarily those of the Independent Group.
- BUSINESS REPORT