Elon Musk anticipates a recession, details Tesla staff cuts

Elon Musk believes a recession may be coming and seeks to stop hiring at Tesla for now. File Picture: REUTERS/Danny Moloshok

Elon Musk believes a recession may be coming and seeks to stop hiring at Tesla for now. File Picture: REUTERS/Danny Moloshok

Published Jun 22, 2022

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By Andrew Mills, Yousef Saba and Hyunjoo Jin

Doha - Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla, said a 10% cut in salaried staff at the electric car maker will happen over three months, as the world's richest man predicted a US recession was more likely than not.

His remarks were his most detailed explanation of job cut plans and his first in-person appearance since Reuters reported on this at the start of this month when Musk stated that the company needed to cut staff by about 10% and was pausing hiring worldwide.

Speaking at the Qatar Economic Forum organised by Bloomberg, Musk said the cuts would apply only to salaried workers, meaning a 3.5% reduction in total headcount, changes he described as "not super material".

But he expressed concern about the prospect of a US recession.

"It's not a certainty, but it appears more likely than not," he said.

Economic forecasting is uncertain therefore predicting future recessions is not easy (who could have predicted Covid?). It is has also been reported that from 1945 to 2009, the average recession lasted 11 months, an improvement on previous decades when they laste almost two years.

However, Musk’s outlook echoes comments from executives, including JP Morgan Chase & Co CEO Jamie Dimon and Goldman Sachs President John Waldron. A "hurricane is right out there down the road coming our way", Dimon said early this month. The US has been through four recessions in the past 30 years.

Whether the United States will go into recession has been a growing concern for chief executives, the Federal Reserve, and the Biden administration.

US President Joe Biden reiterated on Monday that he felt a US recession was not inevitable, even as the world's largest economy struggles to tackle soaring gasoline prices and inflation, which is at its highest in 40 years.

Former US Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers told NBC News on Sunday he expected a recession.

In an email on June 2, seen by Reuters, Musk told Tesla executives he had a "super bad feeling" about the economy and that the company needed to cut staff by about 10% and "pause all hiring worldwide".

He said on Tuesday Tesla expected to increase the number of workers paid by the hour as opposed to on fixed salaries.

He also said he was sticking with digital currency and intended to personally support dogecoin.

Digital currency has been extremely volatile this year, but bitcoin surged following Tesla's announcement in February last year that it had bought $1.5 billion of the currency and for a short time accepted it as payment for vehicles.

'VERY SIGNIFICANT MATTER' UNRESOLVED ON TWITTER DEAL

Elon Musk also spoke about his bid to buy Twitter, which Forbes magazine reported early this month he had agreed to buy for $44 billion.

Musk said there were unresolved issues, including the debt portion of the deal and the number of spam users.

"We're still awaiting resolution on that matter, and that is a very significant matter," he said, reiterating doubts over Twitter's claims that false or spam accounts represented fewer than 5% of its monetisable daily active users.

"And then of course, there's the question of, will the, the debt portion of the round come together? And then will the shareholders vote in favour?"

Musk said he would like to get 80% of North America and half the world on Twitter.

"My aspiration for Twitter is to be as inclusive as possible," he said.

The most important thing was to take the company in the right direction, as at his private rocket company SpaceX and Tesla, he said.

"Whether I am CEO is much less important than my ability to drive the product in the right direction," he said.

(Additional reporting by Nadine Awadalla in Dubai and Hyunjoo Jin in San Francisco; Writing by Saeed Azhar; editing by Jason Neely and Barbara Lewis) (Additional content on recessions: iol reporter)